Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000103 0.000115 0.000128 0.000143 0.000160 0.000178 0.000199
2024-10-20 0.000086 0.000102 0.000121 0.000144 0.000171 0.000201 0.000240
2024-10-27 0.000074 0.000093 0.000115 0.000145 0.000181 0.000225 0.000283
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000083 0.000109 0.000143 0.000187 0.000244 0.000321
2024-11-10 0.000057 0.000078 0.000106 0.000145 0.000199 0.000270 0.000372
2024-11-17 0.000050 0.000072 0.000101 0.000144 0.000205 0.000290 0.000415
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000067 0.000098 0.000145 0.000214 0.000312 0.000463
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000062 0.000093 0.000143 0.000218 0.000329 0.000506
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000058 0.000090 0.000142 0.000223 0.000347 0.000551
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000087 0.000141 0.000230 0.000367 0.000600
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000052 0.000085 0.000142 0.000236 0.000389 0.000653
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000083 0.000142 0.000243 0.000410 0.000707
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000080 0.000141 0.000248 0.000429 0.000760
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000078 0.000141 0.000256 0.000454 0.000827
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000077 0.000142 0.000264 0.000481 0.000900
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000074 0.000140 0.000267 0.000498 0.000955
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000143 0.000279 0.000532 0.001045
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000142 0.000283 0.000553 0.001112
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000070 0.000142 0.000290 0.000580 0.001192
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000141 0.000293 0.000598 0.001258
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000066 0.000140 0.000297 0.000619 0.001329
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000064 0.000139 0.000303 0.000643 0.001411
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000063 0.000140 0.000310 0.000670 0.001500